What are the projected cost reductions for long-duration energy storage technologies

What are the projected cost reductions for long-duration energy storage technologies

Overview of Cost Reduction Goals

  • The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) aims to reduce the cost of long-duration storage by 90% by 2030 through its Long Duration Storage Shot initiative, targeting a levelized cost of storage (LCOS) of $0.05/kWh or less.
  • Achieving this goal will require significant innovation and implementation of cost-saving strategies across various LDES technologies.

Specific Cost Reduction Projections

Technology Expected Cost Reduction Range Potential Post-Innovation Cost
Flow Batteries Up to 66% potential reduction Could achieve LCOS below $0.05/kWh with innovations.
Compressed Air Storage Around 60% reduction possible Projection includes potential to achieve LCOS under $0.05/kWh with innovations.
Pumped Hydro Storage Up to 85% reduction achievable Known for significant potential cost savings with efficient innovations.
Sodium-Ion Batteries Approximately $0.31/kWh reduction Shows substantial potential for cost reduction, though still costly.
Lead-Acid Batteries Around $0.31/kWh reduction Among those with substantial potential for cost decrease.
Thermal Energy Storage (Molten Salt) Relatively lower reduction potential, about $0.027/kWh Offers cost-effectiveness for longer durations compared to some other technologies.

Technologies Currently Challenging Lithium-Ion

Thermal Energy Storage and Compressed Air Storage are already among the least expensive LDES options, with capital expenditures of about $232 and $293 per kWh, respectively, compared to lithium-ion’s $304/kWh for shorter durations.

Implementation and Investment

  • Implementation costs for innovations can vary significantly, ranging from $86 million to over $1 billion, with durations spanning 5.5 to 11 years.
  • The overall investment needed for widespread deployment by 2040 is estimated between $1.5 trillion and $3 trillion, reflecting the scale and potential impact of LDES technologies.

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