Industry Update: Annual Forecast for Renewable Energy Generation Capacity
Global Wind and Solar Power Capacity Expected to Increase by 2025
On April 21, the Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization, in collaboration with the National Climate Center, released the 2025 Global Renewable Energy Generation Annual Forecast Report. This report provides the first-ever annual forecast for global renewable energy generation capacity, projecting that by 2025, global wind and solar power capacities will increase by over 10% and 30%, respectively, compared to 2024.
As the demand for climate resource assessments and forecasts in new power systems grows, the Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation Organization and the National Climate Center have launched collaborative technical initiatives. They developed a forecasting methodology for renewable energy generation that integrates various technologies, including artificial intelligence, to consolidate relevant data. This methodology features a framework that includes meteorological factor forecasting, wind and solar site identification, and renewable energy generation capacity forecasting.
This report offers the first forecast of renewable energy generation capacity for the world and key nations, reflecting the potential and trends of renewable energy generation over extended time scales. Currently, the global energy structure is undergoing significant transformation, with renewables like wind and solar energy increasingly dominating the mix. By the end of 2024, the total installed capacity of renewable energy sources such as wind and solar is expected to reach 1.45 billion kilowatts, surpassing that of thermal power for the first time.
It is important to note that renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, are significantly influenced by meteorological conditions. In the context of climate change, a new type of power system predominantly based on renewable energy increasingly relies on climate resource assessments and the monitoring and early warning of extreme weather events. This forecast report is a significant advancement in integrating meteorological factors into annual renewable energy generation predictions, marking a key development in energy meteorology research collaboration.
Xiong Shaoyuan, Deputy Director of the China Meteorological Administration, stated that the administration will continue to prioritize innovation to enhance the timeliness and accuracy of energy meteorological forecasts. They aim to accelerate the application of the latest research findings in the renewable energy sector and deepen open collaboration to tackle major issues in renewable energy meteorology while jointly developing standards.
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