Annual Prediction of New Energy Generation Capacity: Global Wind and Solar Power Capacity Expected to Increase by 2025
On April 21, 2025, the Global Energy Internet Development Cooperation Organization and the National Climate Center jointly released the 2025 Global New Energy Generation Annual Forecast Report. This report presents the first annual forecast for global new energy generation capacity, projecting that by 2025, global wind power and photovoltaic (PV) capacity will increase by more than 10% and 30%, respectively, compared to 2024.
The demand for evaluating and forecasting climate resources in new power systems is growing increasingly urgent. The Global Energy Internet Development Cooperation Organization and the National Climate Center have collaborated on technological advancements, resulting in a new forecasting method for new energy generation capacity. This method utilizes artificial intelligence and various technologies to integrate relevant data, establishing a predictive framework that includes meteorological element forecasting, wind and solar site identification, and new energy generation capacity forecasting. The report offers the first predictions of new energy generation capacity for both global and major countries, reflecting potential and trends over a long time scale.
Currently, the global energy structure is undergoing profound changes, with the share of new energy sources, such as wind and solar, continuously rising. By the end of 2024, the total installed capacity of new energy sources, including wind and solar power, is expected to reach 1.45 billion kilowatts, surpassing the capacity of thermal power for the first time. However, wind and solar energy generation is significantly influenced by weather conditions, as these sources are inherently dependent on environmental factors. In the context of climate change, new power systems that primarily rely on renewable energy are increasingly dependent on climate resource assessments and early warnings for extreme weather events.
This forecast report marks a significant advancement in the cooperative research in the field of energy meteorology by incorporating meteorological factors into annual new energy generation predictions.
Xiong Shaoyuan, Deputy Director of the China Meteorological Administration, stated that the organization will continue to prioritize innovation, enhancing the timeliness and accuracy of energy meteorological forecasts. Efforts will also be made to expedite the conversion of research outcomes and promote their deep application in the new energy sector. Furthermore, the administration aims to deepen open cooperation, addressing major issues in the meteorology of new energy together and collaboratively developing standards.
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