Ember, a leading energy think tank, has projected that by 2025, coal-fired power generation in China will decrease by 31% compared to 2024 levels. This forecast was published in their report on April 21, 2025. The report indicates that coal power generation is expected to reach a high of 40.9% in 2024, marking the highest proportion since the 1980s.
As the transition to renewable energy accelerates, the predicted reduction in coal-fired power generation is largely driven by advancements in energy technologies. By 2025, it is estimated that China's coal-fired power generation will drop by 31% compared to 2024 levels. Additionally, it is anticipated that the country will see a cumulative installed capacity of 300 GW and a market scale of approximately 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025.
The report also highlights advancements in hydrogen production technologies, with alkaline water electrolysis expected to reach a production capacity of 2000 Nm<sup>3</sup>/h. Furthermore, the growth rate of green hydrogen production is expected to increase, potentially reaching a peak of 50.4 million tons by 2024.
In terms of responsibility for these developments, the report credits various industry players, including major companies like ADNOC, which have signed significant LNG supply agreements. These partnerships aim to strengthen the production of renewable energy sources and facilitate the transition to cleaner energy alternatives.
The report outlines that China’s energy sector is undergoing a rapid transformation, with investments in renewable energy being prioritized. The focus is on reducing carbon emissions and enhancing energy efficiency, positioning China as a leader in the global energy transition.
For further details, you can refer to the <a href=''>Ember report on China's energy future</a>.
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